Can we predict life expectancy using lifestyle factors?
Content Editor: Dr. Swathi Shenoy
April 17, 2024 at 12:30:00 PM
Noncommunicable diseases, lifestyle modifications

Noncommunicable diseases have been on the rise, contributing to large amounts of morbidity and mortality.
However, these diseases are preventable with appropriate lifestyle changes.
However, there is a lack of tools that will help estimate the risk of these diseases.
Hence, a study was conducted to develop and validate a multivariable model with the following objectives:
1. To determine the life expectancy of young adults
2. To identify those young adults at risk of lifestyle-related disorders.
A cross-sectional approach was used using the data of 38,481 participants from the National Nutrition and Health Examination Survey (1994-2014).
The risk factors included in the model are smoking, physical activity, diet, and BMI.
The lifestyle-related diseases included in the model were:
1. Diabetes,
2. Arrhythmia,
3. Coronary artery disease,
4. Myocardial infarction,
5. Stroke,
6. Malignant neoplasms.
The model showed good predictive potential, with the area under the ROC being 0.846.
The model also estimated the deferred effects of lifestyle and its impact on life expectancy.
Hence, this model can motivate young adults to undergo lifestyle modifications.
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