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Can we predict life expectancy using lifestyle factors?

Content Editor: Dr. Swathi Shenoy

April 17, 2024 at 12:30:00 PM

Noncommunicable diseases, lifestyle modifications

Content Editor: Dr. Swathi Shenoy
  • Noncommunicable diseases have been on the rise, contributing to large amounts of morbidity and mortality.

  • However, these diseases are preventable with appropriate lifestyle changes.

  • However, there is a lack of tools that will help estimate the risk of these diseases.

  • Hence, a study was conducted to develop and validate a multivariable model with the following objectives:

            1.  To determine the life expectancy of young adults

            2.  To identify those young adults at risk of lifestyle-related disorders.

  • A cross-sectional approach was used using the data of 38,481 participants from the National Nutrition and Health Examination Survey (1994-2014).

  • The risk factors included in the model are smoking, physical activity, diet, and BMI.

  • The lifestyle-related diseases included in the model were:

          1. Diabetes,

          2. Arrhythmia,

          3. Coronary artery disease,

          4. Myocardial infarction,

           5. Stroke,

           6. Malignant neoplasms.

  • The model showed good predictive potential, with the area under the ROC being 0.846.

  • The model also estimated the deferred effects of lifestyle and its impact on life expectancy.

  •  Hence, this model can motivate young adults to undergo lifestyle modifications.

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